WeatherPulse & IndianaWeatherOnline Weather Blog

Late Evening Radar Update

Quick evening radar update for you. HD Radar showing numerous showers and thunderstorms moving through the region tonight. None of this activity is severe and should remain well under severe limits. The TORNADO WATCH has been cancelled around the region. I will recap the severe weather which occured around the region tomorrow. Below are local radar images for your area.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire WeatherPulse area. Counties in bright green are under River Flood Warnings. 

 

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Rush Hour Drive Home Update

New Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued in Southcentral Ohio.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...
  SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...
  GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...
  NORTHWESTERN CLINTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT.

* AT 514 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR
  OREGONIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  WINDS TO 60 MPH...
  QUARTER SIZE HAIL...

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WAYNESVILLE...
  XENIA...
  YELLOW SPRINGS...
  CEDARVILLE...

IN ADDITION...LYTLE...CORWIN...CAESAR CREEK STATE PARK...
HARVEYSBURG...MOUNT HOLLY...BELLBROOK...ROXANNA AND NEW BURLINGTON
ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

Still tracking severe storms in portions of Southern Ohio. Severe Thunderstorm Warnings continue for Pike, Ross and Highland Counties in Ohio. 

 

This activity produced a Tornado Warning about 45 minutes ago from this posting. I wanted to share with you a couple of images from the storm that produced a Tornado Warning in Adams County, Ohio. 

Notice the core of this storm at the time was producing up to baseball sized hail all the way up to 40,000 feet!!! This storm also was showing strong roation on the 3D image. Notice the column coming down on the radar. This is a good indication to us that some type of roation is occuring in this storm.

The next feature on radar is circled above. Can you guess what this is called? It's called a hail spike or three body scatter spike. These are the result of energy from the radar hitting hail, or very heavy rain, and being reflected to the ground, where they reflect back to the hail and then to the radar. This helped show us that this particular cell meant business and was producing major hail. 

 

More showers and thunderstorm continue to move into the region. A FLASH FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES throughout the night. 

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Brown County in Ohio

 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...
  NORTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...
  NORTHEASTERN BRACKEN COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
  NORTHERN MASON COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT.

* AT 400 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR
  MORANBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  WINDS TO 60 MPH...
  QUARTER SIZE HAIL...

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RIPLEY...
  WEST UNION...
  SEAMAN...
  PEEBLES...

THIS STORM HAD A 54 MPH WIND GUST AT THE KENTUCKY MESONET SENSOR IN
MASON COUNTY AT 4 PM.

IN ADDITION...BRADYSVILLE...REDOAK...BENTONVILLE...DECATUR...
RUSSELLVILLE...CHERRY FORK...STATE ROUTE 32 AT US ROUTE 62 AND
WINCHESTER ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

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4:00pm Weather Update

Some severe weather exists just outside of the coverage area. A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect for Bracken, Mason and Robertson Counties in Kentucky until 4:15pm for damaging winds in excess of 60mph and large hail. This may make it into Brown County, Ohio with severe weather strength. 

Wide view of the radar showing activity continuing to creep up into the Cincinnati area. 

We'll continue to watch off to the west and south for more shower and thunderstorm activity. It's worth noting the line of storms from Evansville down to Jackson, MS. This activity will swing into our area this evening and overnight. Would not be suprised to see several flooding issues. Thus, the National Weather Service has placed parts of the region in a FLASH FLOOD WATCH including Louisville, Cincinnati and Lexington. 

 

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Afternoon Radar Update

A TORNADO WATCH has been placed for a majority of the area until 8:00pm EDT tonight. Damaging winds, large hail and even isolated tornadoes are possible. Below are the areas highlighted under the WATCH. 

 

Let's go on a radar tour around the region. No strong storms around the region now. All of this activity is pushing off to the NNE. 

The strongest of activity stretches from Versailles to Madison in Indiana. No lightning is associated with any of this activity. 

 

This system continues to spin up activity from the south and more showers and thunderstorms are expected through the evening hours. We'll continue to monitor the radar and bring you updates.

 

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WATCH now in Place for Parts of the WeatherPulse Area

The Storm Predicition Center has issued a TORNADO WATCH until 8:00pm EDT for several counties in the area.. Information is provided below.

 

 

 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA
     CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
     NORTHEAST TENNESSEE

   * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM
     UNTIL 800 PM EDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

 

 

 

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So Who Will See More Snow Today/Tonight?

Latest Power of 5 Radar Network shows more snow showers continuing to move through Southcentral Indiana. The areas that see snow showers could see another quick inch of snow on top of whats already accumulated. Currently, roads are really beginning to improve around the area.

Temperatures are beginning to warm nicely this afternoon. Most areas are now approaching or above freezing. Look at Madisonville, Kentucky.. Already 40 degrees!

As we continue through tonight, another clipper system will move into the area. I think the best chance of any snowfall will actually fall to the south into portions of Western Indiana and Kentucky. FutureTrak is pointing out the one inch accumulations in those areas.

I want to point out there is still some uncertainty on this track even this close to the event, thus the NWS continues the Winter Weather Advisory for our area. This may shift further north, it will be a NOWCASTING event later this afternoon.

Another system I'm watching closely is Monday night into Tuesday. This does have the potential of bringing more snowfall into the area. Warmer air will be moving in with this system, this will cause a possible mix in portions of the area. Below is the NAM showing the potential of a good show of precipitation Monday night into Tuesday.

I think Louisville and points south would be the areas to watch for a mix/rain event while areas northeast of Louisville would see mainly snow/sleet. The team will watch it carefully over the coming days but right now nothing to major, just another chance of a few inches of snow.

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Several Snow Chances Ahead!

We turn pages into the winter season for the next few weeks as more cold air pushes in from the northwest. The cold air also brings the chances of snow. I'll discuss all the chances in the next few days below.

I noticed when I went into the gym around 5:20 this evening temperatures were dropping rapidly with the cold front on top of the area and once I got out around 7:00, IT WAS SNOWING!!! Unbelievable weather we have here in the Ohio Valley, RIGHT?? Now let's get on with the forecast.

 

Snow chances are possible later tonight as some of the coldier air filters in. I think a few breif snow showers could be possible for portions of the area. Expecially areas north and east of the Louisville Metro area. Madison, Seymour, Cincinnati, Vevay and Osgood have the best chance to see a light coating of snow on the grass by morning. Below is a look at our short range model called the HRRR. It does a good job pointing out the scattering of these snow showers/flurries.

Not all locations will see a dusting in these areas but a few locations could get suprised by morning. Watch out for a few slick spots during the commute because of some left over moisture on the roadways. Nothing to major.

 

The next system moves in during the later afternoon hours tomorrow and through tomorrow night. Accumulations will be light but it could cause a few problems for the commute on Friday morning. We will watch that carefully. Notice the NAM moving the clipper in and bringing light amounts of moisture in the area.

I do think once again the best chances for an inch of snow would be areas along and east of I-65. Just make sure to stay tuned for the latest delays and closing Friday morning. I would suspect a few.

 

The final system I will talk about this evening will move into the area during Saturday Afternoon. Right now models are a little uncertain on how much to expect and where the heavier moisture will be. Right now, I think the bulk of the moisture will be south and west of our coverage area. However, the NAM is showing light snow moving in during the afternoon hours on Saturday.

Accumulations look to be around an inch of snow area wide but some of the models have been hinting at higher amounts but this would be a localized situation. Something to watch closely over the coming days.

More systems lure in the forecast early next week but I will not get to detailed with those just yet. Let's continue to watch these few little clipper systems over the coming days and see what they bring.

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Out with the warm, in with the cold...and snow?

Hey All,

Hope everyone weathered the weather last night and this morning ok.  We saw some warnings come out of it, but it could have been a lot worse.

Lets talk about cold and snow.  Temperatures throughout the day today are expected to fall to near the lower 4o's by this evening.  High Temps tomorrow will struggle to reach into the 30's.  It only gets better by friday where temps will struggle to even hit 20 degrees!  However Sat and Sun we will rebound a little with temps reaching mid 30's to near 40. 

Thursday night we are watching a slight disturbance that may affect our area but will likely not amount to much at all.   A period of light snow is expected but only very minor accumulations expected.  The places that stand the best chance for actual accumulation will be extreme northern KY and most of southern IN.  I will comfortably say we could see up to 1'', will most locals seeing under that (dusting)

On Saturday, we look to encounter another clipper.  Issues with Precip type will play a role and will be something we will have to watch closely with the model runs.  However at this time, it looks to definitly be snow across southern and central IN.   

And yet, even ANOTHER clipper looks to be on tap for us around Monday night and Tuesday of next week.  The exact track of this system will again play a HUGE role in what type of precip falls and where.  Models will have to be watched closely.

That is all the detail i would like to go into as of this point, but more to come as the models get a better grip on these systems.

Welcome back Winter

TORNADO WATCH

TORNADO WATCH has been issued for all of South Central Indiana and Central Kentucky until 5am EST. An intense squall line will move through the region over the next few hours capable of producing winds in excess of 70mph, small hail, isolated tornadoes, and very heavy rain. The main threat tonight will be the damaging winds. Make sure to secure any loose objects that could become danaged or blown away in the storm.

 

Probabilities chart

Tornadoes Probability of 2 or more tornadoes Mod (30%) Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes Low (20%)

Wind Probability of 10 or more severe wind events High (>95%) Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots Mod (60%)

Hail Probability of 10 or more severe hail events Low (10%) Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches Low (<5%) Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events High (>95%)